Just out. Peer reviewed. COVID vaccine risk/benefit ratio Simply put: As we prevent three deaths by vaccinating, we incur two deaths.
The Safety of COVID-19 Vaccinations—We Should Rethink the Policy
Abstract: Background: COVID-19 vaccines have had expedited reviews without sufficient safety
data. We wanted to compare risks and benefits. Method: We calculated the number needed to
vaccinate (NNTV) from a large Israeli field study to prevent one death. We accessed the Adverse
Drug Reactions (ADR) database of the European Medicines Agency and of the Dutch National
Register (lareb.nl) to extract the number of cases reporting severe side effects and the number of cases
with fatal side effects.
Result: The NNTV is between 200–700 to prevent one case of COVID-19 for the mRNA vaccine marketed by Pfizer, while the NNTV to prevent one death is between 9000 and 50,000 (95% confidence interval), with 16,000 as a point estimate. The number of cases experiencing adverse reactions has been reported to be 700 per 100,000 vaccinations. Currently, we see 16 serious side effects per 100,000 vaccinations, and the number of fatal side effects is at 4.11/100,000 vaccinations. For three deaths prevented by vaccination we have to accept two inflicted by vaccination.
Conclusions: This lack of clear benefit should cause governments to rethink their vaccination policy
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